Singapore aims to be spot LNG, emissions trade hub

According to Yahoo!Asia News:

SINGAPORE, May 24 (Reuters) – Singapore hopes to become a centre for spot trading in liquefied natural gas (LNG) cargoes and emissions credits, to add to its role as Asia’s oil trading hub, a government minister said on Thursday.

The city-state has decided to proceed with LNG imports to meet future energy demand, with a terminal planned by 2012, while countries with Kyoto Protocol targets are looking to buy credits from greenhouse gas emissions-cutting projects in Asia.

“The key is to seek a critical mass of LNG players that will conduct LNG trading out of Singapore,” Minister for Trade and Industry Lim Hng Kiang said at a conference on trading in Singapore.

He added that Australia’s Woodside Petroleum had already started spot trading out of Singapore.

Lim said LNG trading income would get a special tax rate of 5 percent for the next 10 years.

The number of LNG cargoes sold on a prompt basis is increasing, though the development of a liquid spot market has been slowed by fears supplies from major producers could run short, leaving big users such as Japan preferring long-term contracts. Rising production costs also stand in the way.

But as more countries build regasification plants, and the number of tankers increases, it will be easier for spot cargoes to reach new markets. Short-term deals grew to around 13 percent of LNG traded in 2005, from 6 percent in 2000, BP says. China received its first spot cargo of LNG last month.

LNG, natural gas super-cooled to a liquid state for tanker transport, is normally sold years before production begins on a long-term basis to lock in revenues for multi-billion-dollar projects.

Singapore has long sought to diversify its gas supplies, all of which come via three pipelines from Indonesia and Malaysia, to fuel growing power generation.

Lim said the country also saw opportunities in emissions trading, with most carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions credit deals between buyers in Japan and Europe and sellers in countries like China done on an opaque bilateral basis.

“We are attracting emissions trading activities, as well as supporting industries such as carbon-related consultancies, verifiers and fund managers to Singapore,” he said.

A U.N. official has said China is working on a blueprint for an emissions exchange, while Australia is planning a regional carbon emissions trading scheme that would count China and the United States

SIMON: Spot pricing for Singapore is basing on demand and the availability of supply! If the market demands more then the supply….then we pay more! The traders will buy more now…hedge against the market and sell slightly lower then the future market…making a profit margins.

The problem is the future is very uncertain….all the trading is all paper asset….the power plant might not be able to have the flexibilities of delays and might run into more expensive alternatives fuels as contingencies. These will increase the electricity tariff if the electricity retailers decide to pass this uncertain cost to consumers…but if they absorb this cost…then the company might run into the red region and stocks might be affected.

The reasons why I feel that LNG might have delays is because unless we can afford LNG spot price higher then the rest of the world…then maybe we might get a steady flow of LNG….otherwise…we might be out-bid by China, USA, India or the rest of the developed countries.

Just be prepared for the worst and remember to get your solar panels ready….SOON!

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