Edwin Black – The Plan

Edwin Black is an award-winning New York Times bestselling American author and journalist specializing in corporate and historical investigations.

He has published sixty editions in fourteen languages in sixty-one countries.
He has also written numerous newspaper and magazine articles, published throughout the United States, Europe and Israel.
The author has been featured in or the subject of numerous documentaries.

The Plan

Black’s sixth nonfiction book was The Plan published in 2008, and his second on the topic of energy independence and oil addiction.
The Plan however does not discuss energy independence as much as a fuel crisis looming in the event of a sudden oil interruption.
Black states that the U.S. consumes about 20 million barrels of oil per day, some 70 percent imported, and if only 2 million were interrupted for a protracted period of a month or more, the nation would be thrown into economic chaos.
The Plan, rich in footnoted studies and news reports, explains that severe weather such as hurricanes and pinprick terrorism at pipelines could not cause such a disruption, but that a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz could.
Black then outlines the step-by-step day-by-day austere rationing, vehicle retrofitting and fuel switching needed to survive such disruption, based on the policies and precedents of International Energy Agency and our own history.
The point of the book is that while some 28 other oil consuming nations have adopted emergency measures, American policymakers have not even discussed a contingency plan.

Looks like Mr. Edwin Black is very concerned about the future of America and the world yet the people who ask questions are really really begging for a military options against IRAN!~

Iran is not the enemy, it’s the huge dependence of oil …..and most of the oil comes from countries with unstable political situation such as Russia, Iran, Nigeria, Africa, Venezuela and more!

Straits of Hormuz is just one of my fear that I write on my blog and this will cause an immediate ENERGY CRISIS if this narrow shipping strait is blocked….

Things the IRAN or the people of IRAN can possibly do

  1. Fly a plane into Straits Of Hormuz targeting oil super tanker (takes weeks or months to clear the wreckage)
  2. Target any super tankers with short to long distance conventional missile.
  3. Divers to set countless water mines floating all over the narrow straits
  4. Small flexible suicide speed boats with huge explosive on the suicide mission on all tankers (Remote control works too)
  5. Artillery any passing ships
  6. LNG & Oil is highly combustible hence a small RPG or rocket Propel Grenade CAN blow these super tankers out.
  7. Snipe at shorter range along the side of the Straits (not sure if it may destroy the tankers)
  8. Grenade Launchers
  9. Attack Helicopters
  10. Release chemical/biological/nuclear materials all over the area.
Of course for the United States and “allies” to work against IRAN may be more and more difficult as IRAN, Russia and others control much of the fossil fuels.
Clear display of power comes when Russian switched off natural gas to Ukraine & EU nations currently still under negotiation on the 2nd days.
Israel attacking on Gaza also brings the possible crisis forward tremendously and without proper preparation for disruption…it’s as good as being walking dead….yes ZOMBIES.
Imagine millions of truckers in India started to strike now and they don’t deliever food, products and necessities to the stalls & supermarkets will means a clean sweep zero food in 2 weeks!!
Those who had not previously prepared for this will find themselves shitting in their pants…before you know you the government will ration OIL, WATER, ELECTRICITY, FOOD and chaos will erupt all over the country especially the city area.
Do you mention zombies? Yes, human will eat humans in the city area as human meat is as good the next chicken meat on the shelf….or the empty shelf.
Do you want your neighbors to shoot you and cook you for dinner? DO YOUR MIGRATION to alternative FUEL now!
Do WHATEVER IT TAKES…to remove yourself from OIL.
Recycle, Reuse, Reduce, Innovate, Farm, migrate…whatever.
The most dangerous place might be safe but that depends on your skills, knowledge for survival and determination.
Mass economic refugees had already started to spread across the globes from China, India, Germany, Iceland, Japan, Ukraine and most possibly USA to move out of their own country and try to survive overseas.
The 2nd wave of refugees wanted to avoid conflicts like civil war & global energy war and that will be streaming lines of urban beggers and many will beg for water & food from farm lands that are not suitable for harvest.
What will a farmer do facing a hoard of hungry, weak, zero skills on farming bunch of urban folks?
The farmer will either protect his property and shoot all trespassers or recruit them as slaves but when the farm get crowded…they will be his “protection” defense private army.
If the crowd got one IDIOT FOOLS either gone crazy or what…killed the farmer…the whole hoard will DIE trying to farm themselves without knowledge or skills.
They might kill each other for human meat until the numbers grow smaller in smaller groups and it will end….with starvation…diseases ridden and slowly die off due to lacking of basic jungle survival skills.
If YOU had move on with alternative energy source for all the truckers in the world, alternative source for all ELECTRICITY production, move off all dependence on fossil fuels….this apocalyptic scenario WILL NEVER HAPPEN.
Self Sufficient Towns, Cities and villages is the answers, not plundering or looting….move towards sustainability development and GROW YOUR OWN FOOD, power your own home and be PRODUCTIVE to the community.
Money won’t be that valuable in the future as no money can buy you food/water/electricity or peace in the chaotic world of shortages.
Move on to alternative fuel now and RESEARCH on sustainability and ACT ON IT.
Nobody is going to save you if you cannot save yourself.
This blog is specifically trying to WARN you and the public to take actions and be prepared.

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Some Nice Videos For All to See What’s Coming!

I chanced upon some videos on Youtube and realize something more of a conspiracy or fact that the USD may have some “problems” in the very near future.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=huRD886GY8A&feature=related

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jj2oC64NSIA
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SkfzRR1Zzj8
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tHvMzVgziNA

Spread the word….USD is in danger now probably becoming worthless in months.

Get ready for the ride to change!!!

Popularity: 1% [?]

Oil jumps above $40 briefly on Gaza conflict

According to Yahoo!News:

VIENNA, Austria – Tensions generated by a widening conflict between Israel and Palestinian militants sent crude prices up sharply to above $40 a barrel Monday, with gasoline and heating oil also making sizable gains.

Prices also were supported by indications that key OPEC members were acting on commitments to cut back production, in line with a decision earlier this month to take a daily 2.2 million barrels off the market.

“There could be fear that an escalating Middle East conflict could disrupt supplies, though I don’t see that happening at this point,” said Gerard Rigby, energy analyst with Fuel First Consulting in Sydney. “(Israel-Palestinian conflict) always causes a bit of a blip and is one component that could support prices short-term.”

Read more at Yahoo!News:

- The sharp mini-spike in oil prices today is a small taste of what is to come when there is REALLY a disruption in oil supplies.

What is money? It’s just printed money on demand…to Governments of the world who wanted to sustain their countries….what is the limit of oil prices when the real disruption happens?

Who knows? Maybe God will tell you….money is greed and evil of all things.

The sudden rise in tension in the middle east suddenly stroke a surge of anger among Muslim around the world including Iran, Turkey, Iraq, Malaysia, Indonesia, South Africa, Egypt, Syria and other Muslim Nations stroking thousands of protesters!

Thousands of Iranians, joined by high-ranking Iranian officials and military commanders, shouted “Down With USA” and “Down With Israel” in Tehran on Monday. Many carried banners reading “Israel must be wiped off the face of the earth” and “We should all rise and destroy Israel.”

I purposefully enlarged some of the text to make a statement on the predicament that the world now faced, Israel now had wrongfully chosen the wrong chess moves against the frequent small rocket fires from Gaza that had only killed small number of Israeli population.

Their move to escalates the violence with MORE violence clearly lacks of judgment and self control.

The brutal attack not only back fired from their “shock and awe” tactics to intimidate and force a complete cease firing of rockets from the Palestinian at Gaza to Israel, now the situation only got worsened to provide more serious problems for Israel in the long term.

What Israel should do is either do what the Hamas did and shoot back the same amount of small rockets back to Gaza but with more precision and accuracy to avoid real casualties which the Hamas managed to do perfectly to intimidate Israel for a fight.

The idea is nobody is going to complain about rocket fires from Israel that EQUAL the number of rockets from Gaza but with more precisions that can clearly intimidate the Hamas to bring in more firepower.

What the Israel did now is to fall into the most ancient “trap” by simple intimidation by small rocket fire and get caught by Muslim Nations’ wrath if Israel fights back….

What the Muslim Nations can do against Israel might be unimaginable in the global scale and might not be so good for the availability of oil…which brings us back to….another possible supply disruption either by voluntary supply cut by OPEC or by violent sabotages by angry people with no idea of the consequences.

Now Pakistan is praying hard for PEACE with India days after the Pakistan’s army chief began moving troops toward the rivals’ shared border as tensions rose over last month’s terror attacks on Mumbai.

Pakistan obviously trying to use the media at their favor by trying to “pretend” to be the victim and want PEACE but instead prepared for all out war at the border.

India may have someone in control that still sane enough to want to establish peace with Pakistan which both of them obviously wish to avoid a full war with their neighbor knowingly that both of them have the buttons ready to shoot tactical nuclear missile at each others’ major cities…

I believe both do not want millions of people to be vaporized in an instant…

Now the problems lies with escalation of violence MAY cause many countries of different sides to be at the tightest tension ever since World War 2 near Somalia where many countries had sent their navy ships (Destroyers?) to combat Somalia Piracy problems including key countries such as USA, Russia, Iran, China, Italy, Danish, French, Netherlands, Canada, Malaysia, India and more.

The possibility of a major show down is nearer then ever before but there is still chance for peace if all nations do a major publicity stunts to show global unity which is very unlikely after the fall out of the previous WTO meeting.

Does the world really want war during these economic recession or depression? What is the alternatives?….

What I feel is within the next month from January 18 2009 to February 21 2009 is going to be a turbulent period as Presidential Elect Obama takes the Oval Office on the 20th January 2009 and may be the first President to face with the ultimate decisions to the global fate within hours after taking office.

His priority may be the most difficult if things goes VERY WRONG this month….which may means going to war or negotiate for peace within hours.

The challenge for the world now maybe brace themselves with millions of angry Muslim population protesting against Israel and those countries that supports Israel like America in particular……the scary thing is the Muslim Nations in the middle east holds majority of the world oil supplies.

If they do another major oil embargo similar to the extent of 1973 OPEC Oil Crisis….or emulate the scenario portrayed in the fictional book titled “Last Light” by Alex Scarrow.

Here’s a video trailer for this book…which eerily resembles what might going to happen…hopefully not.

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Another Video On How To Prepare For Peak Oil Survival

This video was posted in Youtube way back August 09, 2007.

It’s very scary that this video predicted the economic disasters where enormous number of bankruptcies and joblessness.

The price of oil did goes sky high to U.S. $147 before the Oil Price collapse to current price of U.S. $38+ per barrel!

The Collapse of oil price forced OPEC to cut oil supply 2.2 million barrels off the market per day.

This means LESS OIL…which is also part of the effects of peak oil, less oil means less sustainability.

Learn as much as possible about this video which is taped in 2007!!

Popularity: 1% [?]

Guardian: International Energy Authority chief economist reveals startling prediction for peak oil date

International Energy Authority chief economist, Fatih Birol talks the talk about peak oil
(January 2008)

  1. Clip 1
  2. Clip 2
  3. Clip 3
  4. Clip 4
  5. Clip 5

International Energy Authority chief economist reveals startling prediction for peak oil date – (December 18, 2008, Guardian)

Simmons & Company Chairman Matthew Simmons says the low price of crude is not reflective of a drastic demand decrease.
(Dec. 19, 2008, Fortune/CNN)

Peak Oil: the truth & the lies

  1. part 1
  2. part 2

Peak Oil – Time To Face Reality

  1. PART 1 of 2
  2. PART 2 of 2

More Videos on Peak Oil

  1. Peak Oil – More Reality Checks
  2. Colin Campbell predicts credit crunch due to peak oil

The above is just a peek into the world of peak oil that I had been researching for some time now, my attempts innovate for energy generators hit major road blocks and probably the world won’t survive into the next 50 years.

There might be still hope but it takes great will and strength of all humans left in this world after the fact of great disaster comes upon us to pull this through.

Money, wealth & power should be the least of your concern as when the world dissolve itself into anarchy and lawlessness…what’s the use of holding on to paper money printed illegally by your central banks or be the president of a company that makes “money” that devalues every single day…a.k.a. Zimbabwe money effects.

We should focus more on sustainability development on a global scale or at least within individual communities.

To convert urban car park into hydroponic vegetable gardens, chicken farm, solar panels & wind mills should be promoted with government incentives and tax breaks.

The world should not base on profit anymore but on sustainability or ability to sustain life without oil…

The effects of ultra cheap oil price now may be the result of some over ambitious plan by high politician or someone of big power to lower the previously record oil prices.

Their plan to lower the oil prices is very simple.

  1. Ask for more oil from Saudi Arabia
  2. Fail…then break the bubble of the property market using subprime
  3. Fail…then break the financial bubble
  4. Fail…then shut down a bank or….2
  5. Fail…refuse to help the auto industry?

Apparently their actions may had triggered a domino effects on the financial markets which is exactly what President Bush mentioned to the Saudi if they don’t release more oil to the market to reduce supply tightness….

The result is Demand Destruction by economic bubble to be burst by high oil prices.

Then comes the latest total shocking oil supply cut by the OPEC countries in a way that the world have NO SAY to this at all and soon we shall be forced out of our addiction of oil by virtually NO OIL to use.

The cheap oil era may last only this long until the oil industry either goes bankrupt or CUT OIL SUPPLY TOTALLY…or simply uses protectionist policy by supplying only local markets instead of exporting to international markets.

What should you do to save yourself? Think!

Popularity: 1% [?]

Say No To Bail Out: By American Tax Payers

According to this website:

Here are some of the videos on the issue of bail out in USA.

It’s obvious to me that the American Tax Payers are not willing to simply bail out the banking giant and their fat pay cheques & bonuses.

It’s probably time for the world traders, bankers, flippers, high paying CEOs and leaders of the world reflect on their behaviors and see how their decisions may be one of the real reasons why the world financial market is in such a bad shape right now.

Let’s focus on the basic fundamentals now and seek solutions to the real problems of living life to the fullest instead of chasing the money, power and status.

Now that the banks are not trusting each other, the people no longer have confidence in their banks in USA, the world business became a much harder place to trade goods and services due to less liquidity….what other means can people earn huge amount of investment?

My solution to all these is RENEWABLE ENERGY. Go big on them…the green power will revolutionize the world economy, bring millions of new jobs to consultants, sales, electricians, delivery and power towns after towns.

Eventually those who first invested in GREEN Power may not be 100% rich but may not worry about the future hardship anymore as inflation may only hit cities that are on fossil fuels and import goods made from fossil fuels by fossil fuels.

Life is not just about making more money every day and living like what people see in the television as the rich and famous. It’s about family, love and friends and their happiness.

Many confuse happiness with money but only now do they know that GREED does not equal happiness at all with the market battered the life savings and many may lose all their hard earn money in a short week.

I know I may be adding salt to their wounds but it’s time to wake up and smell the roses and live life to the fullest as we approach the possible days of reckoning where food are no longer safe to eat, banks no longer trust worthy, rumors of war in middles east and epidemics to spread at moment notices.

There are certain sins that the bible says even in the movie SEVEN and one of these sins is GREED and we should be ashame of ourself for allowing banks to convince us that their GREED is legit and let them play with OUR money into the pool of high risk & high interest world of subprime mortgage loans.

It’s time for pay back for the banks and the world of corporate world and return to the basic fundamentals for survival instead of letting some CEOs of banking to sit around pushing one risky investment products after another and spread the risk world wide.

They should pay for their irresponsible actions and deserve no bail out, the world may feel the pinch but it’s going to be back to the basic again to see what is the actual motivation for economic growth…which is the tax payers.

Tax Payers who work hard is the ones that should receive the bail out, however it will be much more better if there is totally no bail out at all.

If funny money that is not from the tax payers money nor borrowed money from other countries….then it may be simply printed money from the M3 supply which will boost inflation to unseen levels!

This is not going to be a good week ahead as we face with either a collapse of the world market or a sudden surge of inflation world wide.

Time will tell what will happen, will the Government suddenly dictate the financial market? No more Free Market and the bubble can only go bigger?

There are rumors of more banks to be implicated in this…so sit tight…. CITI….

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Sustainability: Growing Mushrooms

According to SoShiok.com:

SERDANG, MALAYSIA: While watching television about 15 years ago, Maznah Yacob chanced upon a documentary on how to grow these mushrooms and how to develop a business selling them.

I started out small and could only grow about two pillows of mushrooms, but I persevered and worked hard.

To supplement her income and support 10 children, Maznah sold the mushrooms at a night market in Malacca after work. Today, the 68-year-old supplies tiram kelabu mushrooms nationwide, running the business together with her sons.

- I believe the DVD of the documentary is available for sale for growing mushrooms but I do advice readers to do some research on the climate for growing wild mushrooms. I will too research on this when time allows.

Below is one of the youtube video I found about growing mushrooms.

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DIY Renewable Energy an Option?

I had been pondering about renewable energy for sometime… trying out many ways to make renewable energy. My procrastination had reached it’s limit and it’s about time I search the world wide web for DIY Renewable energy.

Hopefully I can get some feedback by readers like you on the following links that i had managed to find. If they are worthy of “our” time to invest time, money and effort on those projects.

If you are interested to do your own renewable energy projects, do take serious precautions on the electricity shock prevention.

Do comment which website(s) that you find interesting, add others if any.
(Note: I haven’t 100% gone through all the sites yet..hee)

  1. http://earth4energy.co.uk/
  2. http://www.gotwind.org/diy/Projects.htm
  3. http://www.instructables.com
  4. http://www.builditsolar.com/
  5. http://www.navitron.org.uk/
  6. http://www.metacafe.com/
  7. http://www.youtube.com/
  8. http://wiki.edc-cu.org/
  9. http://www.zombiesurvivalwiki.com/
  10. http://video.google.com/
  11. http://ths.gardenweb.com/forums/energy/
  12. http://www.peakoil.com/forum6.html (Energy Technology Discussion)
  13. http://www.peakoil.com/forum8.html (Planning For The Future)

If you recommend any website in the comments, I will add in this list whenever possible.

Do comments on the good and bad of the links above, found anything interesting do email me at simontay78@peakoil.com or simontay78@gmail.com

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